Oil prices surge, stock markets retreat โ ripple effects around the world
Over the past 12 hours, global financial markets have been shaken following Israelโs military strike on Iran, creating fresh geopolitical uncertainty and prompting investors to seek safety. This has triggered notable movements across oil, stocks, and currencies.(reuters.com)
๐ Key market reactions:
- Oil: Brent crude surged nearly 9โ10%, with prices stabilizing around $75 per barrel, marking the largest jump since April 2023.
- Gold & Safe-haven Assets: Gold rose roughly 1โ1.7%, while U.S. Treasury yields fell to a one-month low near 4.3%. Investors also flocked toward the Swiss franc and Japanese yen.(reuters.com)
- Global Stocks: Equity markets in Asia and Europe slippedโSouth Koreaโs KOSPI fell ~1.1โ1.3%, Japanโs Nikkei dropped ~1.2%, and U.S. futures (S&P, Nasdaq) declined by about 1.5โ1.8%.
Financial analysts warn that continued geopolitical escalation, including possible Iranian retaliation, may deepen volatility. If tensions ease, however, markets may rebound quickly, as seen in past events like Kuwaitโs invasion or earlier Middle East flare-ups.(marketwatch.com)
๐ Summary:
| Asset Class | Movement | Insight |
|---|---|---|
| Oil (Brent) | +9โ10% | Heightened supply risk |
| Gold | +1โ1.7% | Safe-haven demand |
| Stocks | -1% to -1.8% | Risk-Off sentiment |
| Currencies | JPY & CHF โ, USD โฌ slightly | Flight to safety |
๐งญ What to Watch Next:
- Iranโs response: Any escalatory move could trigger further market stress.
- Energy chokepoints: Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz could exacerbate oil price shocks.
- Fed and central bank signals: Rising inflation from higher energy prices may complicate global interest rate decisions in the months ahead.
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